The Paradox of Riskless Warfare
Copyright (c) 2025 Tarjáni Attila
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.
Abstract
Disruptive technology carries the possibility of placing the soldier further away from the battlefield, which implies a decrease in the risk that the citizens will have to make sacrifices for the interests of the homeland. However, it is not appropriate to assess what changes can be predicted in warfare by the military effects of the disruptive technologies. Society, economy and politics are just as exposed to technological changes as warfare, which shapes the possible future as a complex adaptive system. Riskless warfare may only be unaffected from unforeseen consequences in certain areas, but it is a fact that the anomalies that are already emerging today are fundamentally challenging current theories.
Keywords:
References
AJP–5. Allied Joint Doctrine for Operational-level Planning 2019. Online: https://www.coemed.org/files/stanags/01_AJP/AJP-5_EDA_V2_E_2526.pdf
BILAL, Arsalan (2021): Hybrid Warfare – New Threats, Complexity, and ‘Trust’ as the Antidote. NATO. 2021. Online: https://www.nato.int/docu/review/articles/2021/11/30/hybrid-warfare-new-threats-complexity-and-trust-as-the-antidote/index.html
CLAUSEWITZ, Carl von (2013): A Háborúról. Ford. Szabó Júlia. Budapest: Zrínyi.
Council of Europe [é. n.]: Béke és erőszak. Online: https://www.coe.int/hu/web/compass/peace-and-violence
DARWIN, Charles (2004): A fajok eredete természetes kiválasztás útján. Ford. Kampis György. Budapest: Neumann Kht. Online: https://mek.oszk.hu/05000/05011/05011.pdf
ELLSBERG, Daniel (2017): Végítéletgép. Budapest: Athenaeum.
HARARI,Yuval Noah (2018): 21 lecke a 21. századra. Budapest: Animus.
HARARI,Yuval Noah (2017): Sapiens. Az emberiség rövid története. Budapest Animus.
KAHN, Paul W. (2002): The Paradox of Riskless Warfare. Philosophy & Public Policy Quarterly, 22(3). Online: https://openyls.law.yale.edu/bitstream/handle/20.500.13051/2656/Paradox_of_Riskless_Warfare__%20The.pdf?sequence=2&isAllowed=y
PITRON, Guillaume (2020): Ritkaföldfémek háborúja. Budapest: Pallas Athéné.
SINGER, Peter W. (2010): Wired for War. The Robotics Revolution and Conflict in the 21 Century. New York Times Bestseller: Penguin Books.
SPARROW, Robert J. – HENSCHKE, Adam (2023): Minotaurs, Not Centaurs: The Future of Manned-Unmanned Teaming. The US Army War Collage Quartely, 53(1), Article 14. Online: https://doi.org/10.55540/0031-1723.3207
STOKER, Donald (2016): Everything You Think You Know About Limited War is Wrong. War on the Rocks, 2016. december 22. Online: https://warontherocks.com/2016/12/everything-you-think-you-know-about-limited-war-is-wrong/
WEISSMANN, Mikael (2019): Hybrid Warfare and Hybrid Threats Today and Tomorrow: Towards an Analytical Framework. Journal on Baltic Security, 5(1), 17–26. Online: https://doi.org/10.2478/jobs-2019-0002