Middle East: What is the Way Forward?

Changing Security Dynamics in the Persian Gulf: The Abraham Accords and the Saudi–Iranian Rapprochement

Abstract

The recent changes and processes reshaped the political and security structures of the Middle East radically, redrawing the security framework of the region. The former Levant and Gulf security sub-complexes seem to become intertwined, creating a new security entity, dominated by the Gulf States,3 based on the evolution of the Saudi- Iranian-Israeli relationship. The abandonment of the region by external actors has pushed these countries to look for alternatives to guarantee their own security – the most adequate forms of which are still in question. However, since several escalation risks persist, the emerging new security sub-complex is expected to be characterized by high internal instability and fragile cooperations.