A nukleáris fegyverek és a hadviselés természete a termonukleáris korszakban
Copyright (c) 2026 Bor Olivér
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.
Absztrakt
A tanulmány a nukleáris fegyverek és a stratégiai rakétaerők megjelenéséből kiindulva elemzi, miként alakult át a hadviselés természete és a politikai racionalitás értelmezési kerete a termonukleáris korszakban. Az elemzés nemzetközi és hazai szakirodalmi áttekintésre, valamint kvalitatív tematikus tartalomelemzésre épül, különös figyelemmel az elrettentés stabilitási feltételeire, a döntéshozatali torzításokra, a technikai-szervezeti korlátokra és az eszkalációs kockázatokra. Az eredmények szerint a nukleáris fegyverek használhatatlansági paradoxona egyszerre stabilizáló és destabilizáló hatású: miközben korlátozza a közvetlen nagyhatalmi háború lehetőségét, válsághelyzetekben növeli a félreértésekből fakadó eszkaláció esélyét. A tanulmány következtetése szerint a nukleáris arzenál strukturális kockázati környezetként értelmezhető, amelynek elemzése túlmutat a katonai logikán, és normatív, humanitárius és környezeti dimenziók bevonását is megköveteli.
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