Risks of Return of the Islamic State and Its Effect on Iraqi Minorities

Abstract

A threat is the possibility of an unwanted event occurring, such a situation in which some damage may not occur for sure, but at some point it could lead to fear and the loss of a sense of security. Unfortunately, many people in Iraq still feel in danger today, because the Islamic State, as a caliphate, has disappeared, but it lives in cells virtually anywhere in the world, and their activities may recur due to their radical views. The issue of a sense of danger is subjective, as one who is not objectively in danger can also perceive a threat. Importantly, in addition to the individual, there is also a community perception when talking about a group of people. It is therefore important to distinguish between real or perceived danger, perceived by an individual or group, especially when dealing with risk analysis. When a challenge or sense of danger arises by a group of people, in most cases there is a real basis for it and the cause and solution must be addressed. Following a review of the theoretical framework, I examine the risks of a resurgence of the Islamic State, particularly in the case of minorities that have previously been a major target for them.