Changing Regional Environment – New Regional Tendencies

On the Way to Normalization?

Abstract

The study aims to present the most important trends that shape the main processes and interstate relations of the region. It emphasizes that the development of the Saudi-Iranian-Israeli relations seems to be decisive in the mechanisms of the region, and explains what are the most significant motives and aspects that influence the behavior of these countries, and what direction the development of their relations is expected to take.

The study intents to prove that since the main trends in the new security unit (emerged from the former subcomplexes of the Levant and the Gulf) were formed as a result of the new security realities, the most important events of the year 2024 (the continuing war in Gaza, the Iran-Israel clashes and the fall of the Assad regime in Syria) had an impact on them, but they were not interrupted, so they are expected to continue. The study presumes that since the regimes are guided by the considerations of the political realities, the relationship systems of the region will not be organized into an exclusive structure based on containment, but inclusive relationship systems are evolving, that exist and operate in parallel, based on transactionality and compartmentalization, and include all actors in the region, which can decrease the regional instability.