How Decisive Are the Copenhagen Criteria for EU Enlargement?

  • Nádasi Levente
  • Trón Zsuzsanna
doi: 10.32559/et.2023.2.4

Absztrakt

The article analyses the significance of the accession criteria in the context of recent EU enlargement negotiations, particularly during heightened geopolitical circumstances triggered by Russia’s aggression against Ukraine. The accelerated EU enlargement process, evidenced by the swift membership applications from Ukraine, Moldova and Georgia, and the even quicker decision to open accession negotiations for two of them, inspires an exploration of the binding elements, specifically the Copenhagen criteria, integral to the accession negotiation process. The study aims to examine the numerical development and changes in the conditions and criteria necessary for EU membership in ten candidate and potential candidate countries. The analysis focuses on fulfilling essential conditions, with emphasis on convergence, assessed using GDP per capita and growth rates, as well as the rule of law and democracy criteria measured through the Worldwide Governance Indicators.

Kulcsszavak:

EU enlargement accession Copenhagen criteria

Hivatkozások

Aronin, Scott (2023): Three Phases of Post-Cold War EU Expansion: The Troubled Road Ahead for Ukrainian, Georgian, and Moldovan Accession. Willamette Journal of International Law and Dispute Resolution, 30(1), 1–36. Online: https://eds.p.ebscohost.com/eds/detail/detail?vid=3&sid=43b10365-0993-490c-9ed8-6b4f5f73bfef%40redis&bdata=JkF1dGhUeXBlPWlwLHVpZCZzaXRlPWVkcy1saXZl#AN=162779060&db=lgs

Becker, Markus (2023): Ukraine Could Join EU by 2030. Interview with European Council President Charles Michel. Spiegel, 06 October 2023. Online: https://www.spiegel.de/international/europe/european-council-president-charles-michel-ukraine-could-join-eu-by-2030-a-5f6a7ca6-99b9-461f-ad3f-3b41d26a771c

Bevington, Matt (2020): How New Member States Join the EU: All You Need to Know. UK in a Changing Europe (UKICE). UK and EU Explainer. Online: https://ukandeu.ac.uk/explainers/how-new-member-states-join-the-eu-all-you-need-to-know/

Börzel, Tanja A. – Sedelmeier, Ulrich (2017): Larger and More Law Abiding? The Impact of Enlargement on Compliance in the European Union. Journal of European Public Policy, 24(2), 197–215. Online: https://doi.org/10.1080/13501763.2016.1265575

Bulmer, Simon – Parker, Owen – Bache, Ian – George, Stephen – Burns, Charlotte (2020): Politics in the European Union. Oxford – New York: Oxford University Press. Online: https://doi.org/10.1093/hepl/9780198820635.001.0001

Carr, Edward H. (2014) [1964]: The Beginnings of a Science. In Elman, Colin – Jensen, Michael A. (eds.): The Realism Reader. London – New York: Routledge. 35–38. (Origi¬nally: The Twenty Years’ Crisis, 1919–1939. An Introduction to the Study of International Relations. 2nd ed. New York: Harper. Chapter 1.) Online: https://doi.org/10.4324/9781315858579

Council of the European Union (2003): Presidency Conclusions of the Thessaloniki European Council, 19 and 20 June 2003. Brussels, 1 October 2003. 11638/03 POLGEN 55. Online: https://www.consilium.europa.eu/media/20847/76279.pdf

European Commission (2020a): Enhancing the Accession Process – A Credible EU Perspective for the Western Balkans. Communication from the Commission to the European Parliament, the Council, the European Economic and Social Committee and the Committee of the Regions. COM(2020) 57 final, Brussels, 5.2.2020. Online: https://neighbourhood-enlargement.ec.europa.eu/system/files/2020-02/enlargement-methodology_en.pdf

European Commission (2020b): Revised Enlargement Methodology: Questions and Answers. Online: https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/qanda_20_182

European Commission (2022): EU Accession Process Step by Step. Online: https://neighbourhood-enlargement.ec.europa.eu/system/files/2022-10/eu_accession_process_clusters%20%28oct%202022%29.pdf

European Commission (2023): 2023 Communication on EU Enlargement Policy. Communi¬cation from the Commission to the European Parliament, the Council, the European Economic and Social Committee and the Committee of the Regions. COM(2023) 690 final, Brussels, 8.11.2023. Online: https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/ALL/?uri=CELEX:52023DC0690

European Commission (s. a.): Accession to the EU. European Commission – Enlargement – Accession to the EU. Online: https://neighbourhood-enlargement.ec.europa.eu/enlargement-policy/glossary/accession-eu_en

European Council (2023): European Council Conclusions, 14 and 15 December 2023. Online: https://www.consilium.europa.eu/media/68967/europeancouncilconclusions-14-15-12-2023-en.pdf

European Neighbourhood Policy and Enlargement Negotiations (2023): Steps Towards Joining. Online: https://neighbourhood-enlargement.ec.europa.eu/enlargement-policy/steps-towards-joining_en

Elman, Colin – Jensen, Michael A. (2014): Introduction. In Elman, Colin – Jensen, Michael A. (eds.): The Realism Reader. London – New York: Routledge. 1–30. Online: https://doi.org/10.4324/9781315858579

Fontaine, Pascal (2018): Europe in 12 Lessons. Directorate-General for Communication, European Commission. Luxembourg: Publications Office of the European Union. Online: https://doi.org/10.2775/206900

Haughton, Tim (2007): When Does the EU Make a Difference? Conditionality and the Accession Process in Central and Eastern Europe. Political Studies Review, 5(2), 233–246. Online: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1478-9299.2007.00130.x

Hoffmann, Stanley (1966): Obstinate or Obsolete? The Fate of the Nation-State and the Case of Western Europe. Daedalus, 95(3), 862–915. Online: https://www.jstor.org/stable/20027004

Hooghe, Liesbet – Marks, Gary (2019): Grand Theories of European Integration in the Twenty-First Century. Journal of European Public Policy, 26(8), 1113–1133. Online: https://doi.org/10.1080/13501763.2019.1569711

Kaufmann, Daniel – Kraay, Aart (2023): Worldwide Governance Indicators. Online: https://www.govindicators.org

Kydland, Finn E. – Prescott, Edward C. (1982): Time to Build and Aggregate Fluctuations. Econometrica, 50(6), 1345–1370. Online: https://doi.org/10.2307/1913386

Leppert, Rebecca (2022): How Exactly Do Countries Join the EU? Pew Research Center, 26 July 2022. Online: https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2022/07/26/how-exactly-do-countries-join-the-eu/

Lőrinczné Bencze, Edit (2020): A Zágrábi Csúcstól a Zágrábi Csúcsig: az Európai Unió bővítési politikájának változásai a Nyugat-Balkán vonatkozásában. Európai Tükör, 23(2), 75–97. Online: https://doi.org/10.32559/et.2020.2.4

Mirel, Pierre (2022): In Support of a New Approach with the Western Balkans: Staged Accession with a Consolidation Phase. Robert Schuman Foundation, European Issues, 633. Online: https://old.robert-schuman.eu//en/doc/questions-d-europe/qe-633-en.pdf

Miščević, Tanja – Mrak, Mojmir (2017): The EU Accession Process: Western Balkans vs EU-10. Politička misao, 54(4), 185–204. Online: https://hrcak.srce.hr/190343

Molnár, Anna (2018): Az EK/EU bővítési politikája és folyamata. In Molnár, Anna (ed.): Az EU külkapcsolati rendszere és eszközei. Budapest: Dialóg Campus. 119–140.

Morgenthau, Hans J. (2014) [1985]: A Realist Theory of International Politics. In Elman, Colin – Jensen, Michael (eds.): The Realism Reader. London – New York: Routledge. 53–59. (Originally: Politics Among Nations. The Struggle for Power and Peace. 6th ed. New York: McGraw-Hill Publishing Company. Chapter 1.) Online: https://doi.org/10.4324/9781315858579

Palánkai, Tibor (2010): Evaluation of the EU Membership of the New Member States. Köz-gazdaság, 5(3), 9–23. Online: https://retp.eu/index.php/retp/article/view/923

Schroeder, Ursula C. (2009): Measuring Security Sector Governance – A Guide to Relevant Indicators. Geneva Centre for the Democratic Control of Armed Forces (DCAF), Occasional Paper, 20, 1–61. Online: https://www.dcaf.ch/sites/default/files/publications/documents/OP_20_SCHROEDER_FORM.pdf

Šiljak, Dženita – Nielsen, Kristian L. (2023): Institutions and Integration (Im)maturity: The Case of Bosnia and Herzegovina. Society and Economy, 45(2), 136–155. Online: https://doi.org/10.1556/204.2022.00020

Solow, Robert M. (1956): A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 70(1), 65–94. Online: https://doi.org/10.2307/1884513

Stanicek, Branislav – Przetacznik, Jakub (2023): Enlargement Policy: Reforms and Challenges Ahead. EPRS Briefing, December 2023. Belgium. Online: https://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/BRIE/2023/757575/EPRS_BRI(2023)757575_EN.pdf

Tankovsky, Oleg – Endrődi-Kovács, Viktória (2023): A Nyugat-Balkán európai integrációja: üzleti lehetőség vagy gazdasági kihívás? Külgazdaság, 67(5–6), 3–30. Online: https://doi.org/10.47630/KULG.2023.67.5-6.3

Treaty of Rome (1957). Online: https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/DE/TXT/PDF /?uri=CELEX:11957E/TXT

Turhan, Ebru (2016): Turkey’s EU Accession Process: Do Member States Matter? Journal of Contemporary European Studies, 24(4), 463–477. Online: https://doi.org/10.1080/14782804.2016.1198693

Waltz, Kenneth N. (2014) [1979]: Political Structures. Anarchic Orders and Balances of Power. In Elman, Colin – Jensen, Michael (eds.): The Realism Reader. London – New York: Routledge. 103–123. (Originally: Theory of International Politics. Boston: McGraw-Hill Higher Education. Chapters 5 and 6.) Online: https://doi.org/10.4324/9781315858579

WDI (2023): World Development Indicators. Online: https://databank.worldbank.org/source/world-development-indicators

Letöltések

Letölthető adat még nem áll rendelkezésre.