Conceptual Debate on the Intelligence Cycle

doi: 10.32561/nsz.2023.4.4

Abstract

The author provides a systematisation on the theoretical approaches and views of applied intelligence cycle from a conceptual approach. The article focuses on systematising of the diverse contemporary concepts and approaches to the framework and stages of the intelligence cycle as a workflow model in the security and defence sphere.

Keywords:

intelligence cycle contemporary intelligence analysis intelligence workflow

References

- 9/11 Commission: The 9/11 Commission Report: Final Report of the National Commission on Terrorist Attacks Upon the United States (9/11 Report). July 22, 2004. Online: https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/GPO-911REPORT/pdf/GPO-911REPORT.pdf

The Australian Criminal Intelligence Commission (2017): Australian Criminal Intelligence Management Strategy 2017–20. Online: https://www.afp.gov.au/sites/default/files/PDF/ACIM-strategy-2017-20.pdf

Aydin, B. – Ozleblebici, Z. (2015): Should We Rely on Intelligence Cycle? Journal of Management and Information Science, 3(3), 93–99. Online: https://www.academia.edu/24453021/Should_We_Rely_on_Intelligence_Cycle

Bartes, František (2013): Five-phase Modell of the Intelligence Cycle of Competitive Intelligence. Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mndelianae Brunensis, 61(2), 283–288. Online: https://doi.org/10.11118/actaun201361020283

Brown, Harold – Rudman, Warren (1995): Preparing for the 21st Century – An Appraisal of U.S. Intelligence: Report of the Commission on the Roles and Capabilities of the United States Intelligence Community. American Intelligence Journal, 16(2–3), 11–17. Online: https://www.jstor.org/stable/44326507

Clark, Robert M. (2009): Intelligence Analysis: A Target-Centric Approach. Washington: CQ Press.

Davies, Philip H.J. – Gustafson, Kristian – Rigden, Ian (2013): The Intelligence Cycle is Dead, Long Live the Intelligence Cycle: Rethinking Intelligence Fundamentals for a New Intelligence Doctrine. Brunel University: Brunel Centre for Security Studies. Online: https://core.ac.uk/download/pdf/30339766.pdf

Dupont, Alan (2003): Intelligence for the Twenty-First Century. Intelligence and National Security, 18(4), 15–39. Online: https://doi.org/10.1080/02684520310001688862

Geraint, Evans (2009): Rethinking Military Intelligence Failure – Putting the Wheels Back on the Intelligence Cycle. International Journal of Intelligence and CounterIntelligence, 9(1), 22–46. Online: https://doi.org/10.1080/14702430701811987

Herman, Michael (1996): Intelligence Power in Peace and War. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Online: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511521737

Holmström, Lauri – Riipinen, Pekka (2014): Rethinking the Intelligence Process. In Towards Strategic Intelligence. Helsinki: Dinamic Futures.

Hulnick, Arthur S. (2006): What’s Wrong with the Intelligence Cycle? Intelligence and National Security, 21(6), 959–979. Online: https://doi.org/10.1080/02684520601046291

Johnson, Loch K. (1986): Making the Intelligence “Cycle” Work. International Journal of Intelligence and CounterIntelligence, 1(4), 1–23. Online: https://doi.org/10.1080/08850608608435033

Kuosa, Tuomo (2014): Towards Strategic Intelligence. Helsinki: Dynamic Futures.

Lowenthal, Mark M. (2012a): Intelligence: From Secrets to Policy. Washington: CQ Press.

Lowenthal, Mark M. (2012b): The U.S. Intelligence Community. New York: Routledge. Online: https://doi.org/10.4324/9781315869889

Lowenthal, Mark M. (2013): Disputation on Intelligence Reform and Analysis: My 18 Theses. International Journal of Intelligence and CounterIntelligence, 26(1), 31–37. Online: https://doi.org/10.1080/08850607.2013.732435

Murphy, Christopher (2006): Competitive Intelligence. Gathering, Analysing and Putting it to Work. New York: Routledge. Online: https://doi.org/10.4324/9781315573151

Nakamori, Yoshiteru (2003): Systems methodology and Mathematical Models for Knowledge Management. Journal of System Science and System Engineering, 12. 49–72. Online: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11518-006-0120-z

Omand, David (2013): Is it Time to Move beyond the Intelligence Cycle? A UK practitioner perspective. In Understanding the Intelligence Cycle. New York: Routledge. Online: https://doi.org/10.4324/9780203558478

Phythian, Mark et al. (2013): Understanding the Intelligence Cycle. New York: Routledge. Online: https://doi.org/10.4324/9780203558478

Reuser, Arno H.P. (2017): The RIS Open-Source Intelligence Cycle. Journal of Mediterranean and Balkan Intelligence, 17(2), 29–43.

Salmi, Ilkka (2020): Why Europe Needs Intelligence and Why Intelligence Needs Europe: “Intelligence Provides Analytical Insights into an Unpredictable and Complex Environment”. International Journal of Intelligence and CounterIntelligence, 33(3), 464–470. Online: https://doi.org/10.1080/08850607.2020.1754682

Siman-Tov, David – Ofer, G. (2013): Intelligence 2.0: A New Approach to the Production of Intelligence. Military and Strategic Affairs, 5(3), 31–51. Online: https://www.inss.org.il/wp-content/uploads/systemfiles/Intelligence%202.0-A%20New%20Approach%20to%20the%20Production%20of%20Intelligence.pdf

Treverton, Gregory – Gabbard, Bryan (2008): Assessing the Tradecraft of Intelligence Analysis. Santa Monica: RAND Corporation.

The UK Ministry of Defence (2011): Understanding and Intelligence Support to Joint Operations. Joint Doctrine Publication 2-00, London. Online: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/311572/20110830_jdp2_00_ed3_with_change1.pdf

UN Department of Peace Operations (2022): Peacekeeping Missions Military PKISR Unit Manual. New York.

UNODC (2011): Criminal Intelligence Manual for Analysts. New York. Online: https://www.unodc.org/documents/organized-crime/Law-Enforcement/Criminal_Intelligence_for_Analysts.pdf

Vida, Csaba (2016a): Intelligence Analysis. National Security Review, 16(1), 4–18.

Vida, Csaba (2016b): Does the Intelligence Cycle Still Exist? National Security Review, 16(1), 18–34.

Wheaton, Kristian J. (2011a): Sources and Methods. Online: http://sourcesandmethods.blogspot.com

Wheaton, Kristian J. (2011b): Let’s Kill The Intelligence Cycle (Original Research). Sources and Methods Blog, 2011. május 20. Online: http://sourcesandmethods.blogspot.com/2011/05/lets-kill-intelligence-cycle-original.html

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.